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Truth and Consequences

The hyphen underscores the gapLast week Wednesday, to the surprise of all, Prime Minister Baldwin Spencer was spared the humiliation of the historic Draft Resolution of No-Confidence. Due to health troubles, opposition Leader Lester Bird was absence at the time the motion was called.

What followed were signals of managed desperation on the United Progressive Party (UPP) government’s bench. Having felt the rage of the nation, Spencer was bracing himself for a long haul in Parliament. He’s already losing the ethical battle in the court of public opinion.



According to Bird, the opposition Antigua Labour Party (ALP) could not move forward with the debate “because only the person who submitted it could have introduced it.”  The ALP needs to pay attention to strategic planning, both to play out alternative scenarios and prepare for potential obstacles.

Anxious to defend his leadership, Spencer reasoned that Bird could have simply appointed another MP to move the motion in keeping with the rules of the Standing Orders, and that Bird’s failure to do so reflected a deficit in confidence in his own colleagues.

But this logic did not reckon with feelings of wrongdoing that are upsetting the people.  Many believe, if you run your fingers at the bottom of the No-Confidence motion, you will find unchecked greed, insidious cronyism, and moral sabotage in the Office of the Prime Minister. This entire unfolding is riddled with truth and ripe with consequences.

Truth

1)   The fact that the PM attempted to persuade the nation that neither he nor his colleagues cut any deals with Bird to hide his poor performance, implied that the practice of integrity in public office, a politically delicate matter for the UPP, has been reduced to an eloquent illusion.  Honesty has become the true center of the PM fantasy and his dread.

2)   The deadly mix of stubborn frustration with rigid joblessness and grim allegations of corruption has rallied a generalized outpouring. Change is in the air.  Judged by its own standard of ‘righting the wrong’ the UPP is now viewed as the least desirable of all alternatives.

3)   Outside of the lofty language of “working to realize the ambition of the people” promoted by Spencer, there are growing indications that the PM’s obsession with tax collection has killed foreign and local investments. Since debt repayment is not a reliable strategy to resurrect the economy, reinforcing a burdensome tax policy is choking growth.

4)   The absence of Health Minister Wilmot Daniel in Parliament for the No-Confidence debate highlights both a hyphen and a paradox. The hyphen underscores the gap between Daniel’s loyalty to the UPP and his constituency’s confidence in him.

The paradox reflects Daniel’s inability to serve two masters: the operational principles for which Daniel stands, against the broken promises of good governance that he can’t ignore. Daniel is a dilemma for Spencer, who obviously does not want him close but can’t discard him. The government’s 10-7 seats lead in Parliament is too slim for disruption.

Consequences

1)   Although there’s widespread sympathy over Bird’s frequent episodes of health difficulties, this incident identifies a clash between two important realities: the future of the ALP and Bird’s proactive resilience.  But the ALP’s appreciation of Bird’s whisper of discontent to achieve more must be at its own risk. Voters are giving hints for a healthy, innovative, and inspiring leadership.



2)   The ALP is operating on the odd premise that its leadership matter is fully settled. Yet the outburst between the Party Chairman Gaston Brown and senior MP Molwyn Joseph over aspirations for power sounds more like a cloak and sword endeavor. But though there’s an effort to distinguish disagreements from disunity, it still appears that the ALP is in danger of schism and collapse. 

3)   Even if the causes behind the people’s grievance are warranted, the ALP will have to find new approaches to advocacy that are not only morally justified, but operationally persuasive. Without demonstrating that it is ready, competent, and willing to deliver prosperity, probity, proper management in government, the ALP will not win back the public trust and confidence.

4)   Short of addressing ideological differences, emotional maturity and leadership criteria for public service, finding a path to the development needs of Antigua & Barbuda will serve the greater good of the masses.  To get rid of bad behavior in government, the people must punish politicians for using the government to reward friends, endorse vested interests, and alienate responsible critics.

The opposition adamant refusal to throw the No-Confidence motion overboard leaves open the possibility for its re-introduction later this year. Spencer will not shrink from the task of justifying his actions, but his worry will not vanish. He has a small window to stop his tenure from becoming a masterpiece of errors composed of social agony and moral disaster.

No-Confidence Resolutions disguise the deeper story: a scream for systemic reforms at the society, parties, and government levels. With crime boldly turning into despair, the fight over scare resources could be settled by the bullet. The ballot is the better way. But we will have to support it with a robust commitment to justice, and equality of opportunity for everyone.

Dr. Isaac Newton is an International Leadership and Change Management Consultant and Political Adviser. He specializes in Government and Business Relations, and Sustainable Development Projects. Dr. Newton works extensively, in West Africa, the Caribbean and Latin America and is a graduate of Oakwood College, Harvard, Princeton and Columbia. He has published several books on personal development and written many articles on economics, education, leadership, political, social, and faith based issues. 

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20 Comments In This Article   

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RE: Truth and Consequences

#20 Audrey Taylor » 2012-06-07 08:17

Daniel is no saintm, he is a rat abandoning his sinking ship. Please don't be fooled into making a hero of this man. We need an inquiry into his allegedly newly acquired wealthbefore he can be trusted and that will never happen. We used to ask ALP "a whey de money Gorn" we have to ask the UPP A whey yuh money come from".
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Audrey Taylor

@ RAWLSTON POMPEY

#19 skyewill » 2012-06-07 06:11

You didn't get it. It’s a metaphor, used by a younger generation to say you are excessive on compliments and short on solutions. As an investment underwriter I never listen to what people say I go by facts and actions. How many poor people you help, what actual projects and the success rates, hard provable numbers and their sources not flowery words and fancy talk and calling folks simple and NAÏVE because they may not agree with us. The truth is simple and plain and will come from those who we may feel is the least among us. My Grandmother, teacher Agnes Williams had a saying Trust no custom, form or fashion, some may look like angels bright. That has saved me many times. Stay strong
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skyewill

RE: Truth and Consequences

#18 Audrey Taylor » 2012-06-06 19:25

The Upp and others like them when we vote for who we like personally, who can help us personally etc. A fit and proper criteria for candidates for public office needs to be put in place if not we will always end up with **s, dunces, morally degenerate and criminals. Raise the Bar for those who represent us please
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Audrey Taylor

@ TC

#17 UncommonSense » 2012-06-05 21:18

I didn't read Dr. Newton's analysis to mean that Daniel is purer than PM BS. He never described PM BS's ethical state of mind. He addressed the impact of their decisions and or inaction on the political landscape. The hyphen and paradox used to explain Daniel's absence on that day parallels the integrity politics that has bedeviled the UPP.
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UncommonSense

NO SKYEWILL-NO SPOT MISSING

#16 RAWLSTON POMPEY » 2012-06-05 20:13

Some issues, like some individuals are controversial enough. Always endeavour to keep away from making direct comments on, or about them.
Usually moved by rational and analytical discourse, such as this one.

Do follow the interactions between commentators and the way their thought process worked. As provocative as some commentators may apper,thoroughl y enjoyed reading those of seemingly good reasoning power.

DR. NEWTON spoke to "...EMOTIONAL MATURITY," [para 4]. Even among commentators, this seemed very evident. It is not about feelings-it is about critical issues and the likely impact on the quality of life of even the most "...NAIVED."
You have engaged the thought process of all well-thinking people respecting the national interest, hence keep the engines running.
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RAWLSTON POMPEY

RE: Truth and Consequences

#15 TC » 2012-06-05 18:48

Dr. Newton, what about Daniels' broken promises and good governance that he ignored? Things done by half is never good. Let us put everything on the table. You are painting a rosy and squeaky clean picture of Daniel. I guess Daniel was a dilemma for both Lester and Spencer on that day. Why didn't the Opposition Leader appoint someone else to move the motion? Will we ever see the no confidence vote on the order paper again?
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TC

kiss kiss

#14 skyewill » 2012-06-05 18:36

4 more generators? I have not heard about that. @ RAWLSTON POMPEY, Dr. Winston James, Doubtful, young analyst, Dr. Lionel Boston, Sheila Lewis, Dr. Samuel Gardener " YOU MISSED A SPOT"
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skyewill

@ Sheila Lewis

#13 skyewill » 2012-06-05 18:30

I understand that you agree with Dr. Newton's perspective and although I may agree on some points. I remember the reason ALP was voted out in a landslid victory in 2004 with Newton waving his big blue flag. Personally I don't have a crystal ball but if Antigua was to go back to the same old mockery of prior 2004 that would be crazy. Therefore I would hope that any party that wish to have at least my vote would have made drastic changes and illiminate some of it old gaurds. UPP is disapointing but in my opinion so was ALP. I support Vere Bird III and some ALP players I even like Brother B and some UPP players but I love my country more. I have respect for both lester Bird and PM Spencer. My concern is that there is a lot of Tuesday morning quarter backing. I want real solutions. Step by step, HOW WE GOING TO DO THIS. I don't know what things will look like in 6 months but for today I still believe UPP can win and to underestimate them is not wise.
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skyewill

Very Insightful

#12 Dr. Samuel Gardener » 2012-06-05 15:43

In my judgement Dr. Newton provides a holistic view of operational crisis and governance cures. Written in a conversational, clear, and creative style, this commentary is filled with ideas of hope, wellbeing and solutions. And yet it backs up it says with accurate analysis, keen observational data, and impressive forthrightness.

Hope you are advising A&B leaders or the country will end up in ruin, rages and rage. Doc you are a true solider for social justice and leadership best practices.
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Dr. Samuel Gardener

@ Cool Ruler

#11 KNOW TOO WELL » 2012-06-05 12:03

Between Malcom X's ballot and bullet, the people will give the UPP the BULLET at the BALLOTregardles s if they change the Electoral Boundaries.

The UPP has lost the NO-CONFIDENCE MOTION in the Court of Public Opinion.

If they won with the boundaries as they are in 2004, why do you think they need to change them to get an advantage? Because they sense DEFEAT. Dr. Newton's prophetic sentiments are impartially accurate.
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KNOW TOO WELL

@ Skyewell

#10 Sheila Lewis » 2012-06-05 10:52

Though you feel that the UPP vs the ALP equals a 50/50 battle in the next general election, I agree with Dr. Newton's perspective. On the issue of morality the UPP is the least desirable of all alternatives. Remember that ALP has always promised the people jobs, jobs, and more jobs. The UPP promised the people good governance, integrity in public office and transparency.
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Sheila Lewis

Top-Notch

#9 Dr. Lionel Boston » 2012-06-05 10:47

Dr. Newton your discourse addresses operational and functional strategies for good governance. The TRUTH about the UPP and the CONSEQUENCES for the ALP is a masterpeice. In the end, the idea of punishing leaders for bad behavior while re-defining the criteria for quality leadership is outstanding.

Thoughtful analysis so rich with pragmatism and insights!
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Dr. Lionel Boston

RE: Truth and Consequences

#8 Spindoctor » 2012-06-05 09:48

Now we see Spencer and the UPP making Boundary changes in an attempt to stay in power at all costs, just how low can this government sink?

As for the Chinese generator fiasco I now hear only one generator remains working hence the power cuts we are experiencing every weekend. So we now see the truth that these old and failing generators have cost our nation $47 million, but just who benefited from this deal.

In a further insult the government has brought 4 NEW generators which have landed on the island to provide power for Carnival, the question is again did this go before parliament for approval...I think not. And just how much did these 4 new generators cost?

So many questions, so few answers, nothing but smoke and mirrors from Spencer and the UPP!
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Spindoctor

What?

#7 Supporter » 2012-06-05 09:06

Im a ALP supporter and i dont even give a damn if they get the rid of Daniel or any of their members ,the whole of upp members need to pack up and leave
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Supporter

a me, Society's simpleton

#6 skyewill » 2012-06-05 08:46

I don't believe that the UPP is now viewed as the least desirable of all alternatives. Assuming this would be dangerous for any opponent. I also believe the ALP is the strongest organized group in Antigua, with rich history and strong organizational structure. I wonder under whose advice the PM even explained cutting a deal with Mr. Bird issue, it’s one of those things that there is no need to bother with, it’s just nonsense and it makes Newton’s point. I believe it is close to 50/50 either party can win the next election. The one that believe they got it so they can lay back will loose.
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skyewill

The absence of Wilmouth Daniel

#5 young analyst » 2012-06-05 08:35

Very important point as per usual with all your articles sir Newton, the absence of wilmouth daniel was what i think was the main underlinding factor for the opposition leader deciding not to return even if he was sick. But where in truth was minister daniel was he sick, on vacation, seems as if he has that thump card toying with both masters indeed.
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young analyst

RE: Truth and Consequences

#4 Doubtful » 2012-06-05 08:33

Doc great piece. I just widh that these so called politicians would take some notes becuase they all need to go back to the drawing board. These politicians are a bunch of spineless, jokers. Most if not all of them are a bunch of selfserving, selfish, people who could care less bout the people who elected them. They and their cronies are in it just to line their pockets on the backs of the people. I pray for the day when a few good men and women who really have the best interest of the people at heart would be in charge of this country. However I sincerely doubt that it would happen in my life time. Maybe at the second coming......... ...............
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Doubtful

Brilliant

#3 Dr. Winston James » 2012-06-05 08:16

Simply profound. Utterly insight. Deeply self reflective. Comprehensively balanced. Doc your social commentary is a master stroke!
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Dr. Winston James

Fat Lady

#2 Bush Doctor » 2012-06-05 07:56

The proverbial "Fat Lady" will only sing after Wilmouth has left the Cabinet for "Better or for Worse"!
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Bush Doctor

CONSEQUENCES-PA RA "4"

#1 RAWLSTON POMPEY » 2012-06-05 07:28

Doc, insightful, irrefutably and provocatively gripping.
Society's simpletons and gullibles may never understand your views and passion for new paradigm in leadership and good governance. Riveting commentary.

Notwithstanding, those endowed with a deep sense of understanding and appreciation may see prudence in your rational thinking and analytic discourse, with suggestive functional approaches to seemingly chronic, but curable administrative malady..
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RAWLSTON POMPEY

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Dr.Isaac Newton

Dr. newtonDr. Isaac Newton is an International Leadership and Change Management Consultant and Political Adviser. He specializes in Government and Business Relations and Sustainable Development Projects. Dr. Newton works extensively in West Africa, the Caribbean and Latin America and is a graduate of Oakwood College, Harvard, Princeton and Columbia. He has published several books on personal development and written many articles on economics, education, leadership, political, social, and faith based issue

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